Ty France Is Scorching — And WaiverScout Called It Months Ago
Ty France is hitting .462 over the last seven days with a .494 wOBA, and he's still sitting on waivers in 69% of leagues. If you've been reading WaiverScout, this shouldn't surprise you. We first flagged France as a watch back on June 30 when his ownership was at 1%. By July 23, we upgraded him to Add Now at 20% ownership. The signal has only strengthened since — and the mainstream fantasy world still hasn't caught up.
The Rolling Window Tells the Story
France's numbers are trending in one direction: up. His 30-day wOBA of .425 was already strong. His 14-day wOBA climbed to .438. And over the last seven days? A blistering .494. That's elite-tier production from a first baseman available in nearly every league.
The batting average progression is equally compelling: .356 over 30 days, .415 over 14 days, .462 over the last week. This isn't a one-game spike — it's 28 plate appearances in the last seven days and 44 over the 14-day window. The confidence level here is solid.
His strikeout rate has simultaneously dropped from 16.2% over 30 days to 14.3% in the last week. He's making more contact and making it count. Over his last five games, France has gone 9-for-21 with a homer and 6 RBI, including multi-hit performances in three of those contests.
The Skills Are Real
This isn't just average-fueled noise. France's hard-hit quality sits at 50.3% over the last seven days with an exit velocity of 93.1 mph. The 14-day hard-hit rate is even better at 53.5%. Over 30 days, his exit velocity has climbed from 90.6 mph to 91.9 mph to 93.1 mph — a clear upward trend in quality of contact that supports the surface-level production.
When a hitter's exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and wOBA are all moving in the same direction, you're looking at real performance improvement, not luck. The data is clear.
The Ownership Window Is Closing
France sits at 31% roster ownership with a +2% uptick over the last seven days. The velocity is trending upward but the pace is still slow. No major fantasy publication appears to be highlighting him right now — this signal is ahead of the mainstream conversation. That's your edge, but it won't last. France has been locked into consistent playing time with 28 PA over the last week, so the exposure is there for production to continue flowing.
For context, if you're rostering a struggling first baseman like Matt Olson or looking at alternatives like Jonathan Aranda or Willson Contreras, France's recent trajectory demands consideration. A .494 wOBA over 28 PA with declining strikeout rates and rising exit velocity is the kind of profile you act on, not wait on.
WaiverScout Has Been on This
We want to be transparent about the timeline here. WaiverScout identified France as a watch on July 12 at 1% ownership. By July 23, he was an Add Now at 20%. We've maintained that classification through August and into September. Managers who acted on our early signals have already reaped the rewards of a .356 average and 4 home runs over the last 30 days — and the production is accelerating.
Verdict: Add Now
Ty France is an Add Now. A .494 wOBA over the last week backed by a 93.1 mph exit velocity, 50.3% hard-hit rate, and declining strikeout rate — this is real. He's available in 69% of leagues during the stretch run of the fantasy season. The numbers back it up, the trend lines all point the same direction, and nobody else is talking about it yet. Stop waiting. Add him now.