Tommy Edman Is Mashing Again — and Nobody's Paying Attention
Tommy Edman just posted a .408 wOBA over the last seven days with a 103.0 mph average exit velocity and a 100% hard-hit rate. He's rostered in 21% of leagues. That disconnect is your opportunity, and the window won't stay open long.
The Signal Is Real — and It's Strengthening
WaiverScout first flagged Edman as an Add Now back on July 20th when he was rostered at 25%. Ownership has since drifted back down to 21%, but the underlying performance has only gotten louder. Before that July signal, we had him classified as a deprioritize three separate times — June 20th, July 9th, and July 17th. The algorithm wasn't guessing. It was waiting for the skills data to align with the opportunity. Now it has.
Rolling Window Breakdown: What Changed
Look at the progression across windows and the story is unmistakable:
- 30-day wOBA: .276 — below average, easy to dismiss
- 14-day wOBA: .377 — sharp uptick, suggesting a mechanical or approach change
- 7-day wOBA: .408 — elite territory
That's not a random hot streak. That's a slope, and it's pointing straight up. His batting average has climbed from .200 over 30 days to .256 over 14 to .278 over the last week. The walk rate has nearly doubled — from 7.0% at the 30-day mark to 13.0% in the last seven days — indicating a more disciplined, selective approach at the plate. He's seeing the ball better, swinging at better pitches, and punishing them when he does.
Statcast Validation: This Isn't Smoke
Here's where the data moves from interesting to undeniable. Over the last 14 days, Edman is posting a 100% hard-hit rate with an average exit velocity of 103.0 mph. Compare that to his 30-day numbers: 38.9% hard-hit rate and 89.5 mph EV. That's not a small improvement. That's a completely different hitter.
The 30-day sample (100 PA) tells you who Edman was. The 14-day sample (47 PA) tells you who he is right now. A 47-PA window is a solid sample — enough to make confident claims about a skills-level change, not just a BABIP blip. When exit velocity jumps 13.5 mph and hard-hit rate goes from under 40% to 100%, something fundamental has shifted.
Production Across the Board
This isn't just about batted-ball quality. Edman has 3 home runs and 2 stolen bases over the last 30 days, with 2 of those homers and both steals coming in the last 14. His most recent game — August 26th — was a signature line: 2-for-4 with a homer, 3 RBI, and a walk. He's contributing in every category that matters for fantasy managers.
His multi-position eligibility (2B, 3B, OF) makes him even more valuable, providing roster flexibility that's hard to find on the wire. If you're looking at Zack Gelof at the same position, Edman's recent Statcast numbers and plate discipline gains make a compelling case that he's the better pickup right now.
The Ownership Window
Edman's roster percentage hasn't budged — 0% change over the last seven days despite this surge. No major fantasy publication is talking about him yet. That's the definition of an edge. When the mainstream catches up — and it will, because you can't hide a 103 mph exit velocity and .408 wOBA for long — that 21% roster rate will spike fast.
Verdict: Add Now
The data is clear. Edman's skills-level indicators have undergone a legitimate transformation over the last two weeks. The exit velocity, the hard-hit rate, the rising walk rate, the consistent playing time (23 PA in the last week alone) — everything aligns. WaiverScout's algorithm has him classified as an Add Now, and the numbers back it up completely. Go get him before your leaguemates notice.