Tanner Scott Is Flashing Dominant Stuff Again — But the Sample Demands Patience
Tanner Scott has posted a 0.00 ERA with a 16.67 K/9 over his last 2.7 innings, and his FIP sits at an absurd -0.60 in that window. The Dodgers' left-handed reliever is striking out half the batters he faces over the last seven days — a 50.0% K rate that jumps off the page. Early signs suggest this could be a stretch worth paying close attention to.
The Rolling Window Breakdown
The progression across Scott's rolling windows tells a compelling story of a reliever tightening his grip:
- 7-day: 0.00 ERA | 16.67 K/9 | -0.60 FIP | 2.7 IP
- 14-day: 0.00 ERA | 12.16 K/9 | 0.40 FIP | 3.7 IP
- 30-day: 1.03 ERA | 13.45 K/9 | 0.11 FIP | 8.7 IP
That 30-day line alone is outstanding — a 1.03 ERA with 13.45 K/9 and a near-zero FIP across 8.7 innings. But what makes this a rising signal is the acceleration. His K rate has climbed from 41.9% over the past month to 50.0% in the last week. He's not just maintaining — he's escalating.
Skills Validation
The FIP here is the anchor. A -0.60 FIP over the last seven days and a 0.11 FIP over 30 days tell you the strikeouts are real and the contact he's allowing is harmless. When FIP runs that far below ERA — which is already minuscule — you're looking at a pitcher whose underlying skills may be even better than his surface results. The 50.0% strikeout rate over the recent window is elite by any standard, and even the 30-day K rate of 41.9% sits in rarified territory for relievers.
The caveat is obvious: we're working with 2.7 innings in the short window and 8.7 innings over the month. This is early-signal territory, not a proven trend. But the direction is unmistakable.
WaiverScout Has Been Tracking This
We first flagged Scott back on March 30 as an add now when his ownership sat at just 4.7%. Since then, his signal has oscillated — toggling between watch and deprioritize through April and May as he worked through inconsistency. But our June 11 flag at 46% ownership marked the beginning of this current upswing, and the numbers since have only strengthened. Ownership has climbed from that 4.7% floor to 53% today, with a +2% gain over the past week and an upward velocity trend. Managers who acted on that early March signal have already reaped weeks of elite relief production.
Ownership Window
At 53% rostered with ownership trending up, Scott is still available in nearly half of leagues. The Athletic highlighted his scoreless streak back in late May, and ESPN and FantasyPros are tracking him closely. The broader fantasy community is aware but hasn't fully committed. That gap between awareness and action is your opportunity — but it's narrowing.
In deeper leagues, he's worth comparing to alternatives like Emilio Pagán, Jeff Hoffman, or Louis Varland, but Scott's recent K-rate surge and FIP profile could be emerging as the strongest of the group.
Verdict: Watch
The classification is Watch. The skills indicators — a 50.0% K rate and sub-zero FIP — are screaming, but the sample is still small enough that we need another week or two to confirm this isn't a hot streak in a tiny window. If you're in a league where elite relievers are scarce, you could justify an early move. For everyone else, keep Scott at the top of your watchlist and be ready to pounce the moment this signal upgrades. The trend line says it might not stay at Watch for long.