Joey Ortiz Is Mashing — And the Data Says This Is Real
Joey Ortiz is hitting the ball harder than almost anyone in baseball right now, he's getting on base at an elite clip, and he's rostered in just 6% of leagues. That's a market inefficiency you need to exploit today.
WaiverScout's algorithm has upgraded Ortiz to Add Now, and the numbers back it up across every window we track.
The Rolling Windows Tell a Clear Story
Start with the 30-day view: a .319 AVG, 4 HR, 3 SB, and a .393 wOBA across 78 PA. That alone is strong production from a middle infielder with dual 3B/SS eligibility. But the trend lines are what pushed this signal over the edge.
Over the last 14 days, Ortiz owns a .312 AVG with a .422 wOBA, 2 HR, and 3 SB in 36 PA. His walk rate has climbed to 11.1% while his strikeout rate sits at a manageable 19.4%. Now zoom in to the last seven days: a .444 wOBA, a 19.0% walk rate, and a 28.6% K rate across 21 PA. The strikeouts ticked up, but the plate discipline and power output more than compensate.
That 3-for-3 game on July 22 — with a double, triple, walk, two RBI, and a stolen base — wasn't a fluke. It was the latest data point in a month-long surge that keeps accelerating.
The Statcast Numbers Are Absurd
This is where the case gets undeniable. Over the last seven days, Ortiz has posted a 100% hard-hit rate with an average exit velocity of 107.3 mph. That's not a typo. Every batted ball has been hammered.
The 14-day window shows a 50% hard-hit rate at 93.7 mph EV, and the 30-day sits at 38.9% with 87.8 mph. The progression is clear: Ortiz isn't just making more contact — he's making dramatically better contact. The quality of his batted balls has been climbing steadily, and the last week represents an apex of elite-level ball-striking from a player most managers aren't watching.
Historical scouting reports, including analysis from Fantasy Baseball Talk, have questioned whether Ortiz hits the ball hard enough. This recent stretch is a direct rebuttal to that narrative. The bat speed and contact quality are showing up in the data now — not projections, not hope, but measured results.
WaiverScout Called This Early
We first flagged Ortiz as a Watch back on April 29 when he was rostered in just 1% of leagues. The signal faded through May and June, and we honestly moved him to Deprioritize multiple times. But on July 19, we upgraded him back to Watch at 2% ownership as the early signs of this breakout emerged. Five days later, the data has only strengthened, and the classification is now Add Now.
His ownership has surged from 1% to 6% in recent weeks, with a +5% jump in the last seven days alone. The velocity is rising fast. When the broader fantasy ecosystem catches on — and FantasyPros is already highlighting his recent multi-hit performances — this window closes.
The Verdict: Add Now
At 6% rostered, Ortiz offers 3B/SS dual eligibility, consistent playing time (21 PA in the last seven days confirms an everyday role), and a skill set that's trending sharply upward. The 30-day body of work — .319 AVG, 4 HR, 3 SB, .393 wOBA across 78 PA — gives you a solid sample to trust. The Statcast data validates the production as skill-driven, not luck-driven.
If you need middle infield help, Ortiz is a higher-priority add right now than names like Kevin McGonigle or Colson Montgomery based on recent production and batted-ball quality. The data is clear: add Joey Ortiz now before his ownership catches up to his performance.