Bryce Eldridge is hitting the ball as hard as anyone in baseball right now — 107.0 mph exit velocity, 100% hard-hit quality over the last seven days — and he's sitting on your waiver wire at 22% ownership. That's the kind of disconnect that wins weeks. Let's get into it.

Today's Top Adds

Bryce Eldridge (1B, SF) — 22% Owned

The batting average (.150 over the last 7 days) looks ugly until you dig underneath it. Eldridge is posting a 20.0% walk rate over the past week, up from 12.5% over 30 days, which means his approach at the plate is sharpening, not deteriorating. The underlying contact quality is elite: 107.0 mph exit velocity and 100% hard-hit rate. A .303 wOBA with that exit velocity profile is a regression candidate in the right direction — the hits are coming. He's logged 25 plate appearances in 7 days, so the playing time is locked in. This is a buy-low window that won't stay open once a few of those barrels start finding grass. At 22% ownership with zero movement in the last week, the market hasn't caught on yet.

Xander Bogaerts (SS, SD) — 33% Owned

Bogaerts' ownership is actually cooling off (-2% over 7 days), which makes this a contrarian add. The strikeout rate has cratered to 6.9% over the past week, down from 17.6% over 30 days — that's an elite contact rate regardless of position. He's walking at a 17.2% clip (up from 13.7%) and posted 29 PA in the last seven days, confirming everyday status. The .167 average and .265 wOBA aren't exciting on the surface, but a veteran shortstop making that much contact with a 97.7 mph exit velocity and 50% hard-hit rate is going to produce. People are dropping him. Pick him up.

Watch List

Yoendrys Gómez (SP/RP, MIN) — 31% Owned

The strikeout rate has spiked to 30.8% over the last week compared to 19.5% over 30 days, and the 2.43 FIP confirms it's not just whiffs — he's suppressing quality contact. This is still an early signal across 5 games, but the K-rate jump is dramatic enough to warrant priority if you need pitching.

Austin Hedges (C, CLE) — 0% Owned

Zero percent owned with a .473 wOBA over the last seven days. He's slashed .333 with a homer while walking at 22.2% and striking out at just 11.1%. Catcher is a wasteland — even if this is a hot streak, the position scarcity makes him worth a speculative grab in deeper leagues.

Trevor Larnach (OF, MIN) — 8% Owned

A .412 average and .463 wOBA over the past week, up from an already-strong .409 wOBA over 30 days. The consistency across both windows is what separates Larnach from a typical hot streak. Still only 8% owned — the market is sleeping.

Juan Morillo (RP, AZ) — 4% Owned

A 0.00 ERA and 8.18 K/9 over the past week with a 2.19 FIP. The strikeout rate is ticking up to 27.3% from 24.4% over 30 days. At 4% ownership, he's a deep-league reliever stash, especially if he's working in high-leverage spots.

Heriberto Hernández (OF, MIA) — 8% Owned

Hernández is doing damage with 25 PA in the last week — .360 average, .405 wOBA, 98.1 mph exit velocity, 66.7% hard-hit quality, and a homer. The 30-day wOBA (.404) nearly mirrors the 7-day mark, suggesting this is a real level of production rather than a spike. The consistent playing time is the key unlock here.

Anthony Seigler (2B/3B, BOS) — 2% Owned

The wOBA surge from .324 over 30 days to .408 over the last seven is the kind of inflection point that precedes a breakout. He's hitting .312 with a homer while cutting his strikeout rate to 11.8%. Multi-position eligibility adds roster flexibility. Worth a speculative add in 12-team leagues.

Alex Lange (RP, KC) — 15% Owned

The 46.2% K-rate over the past seven days is absurd — up from 18.9% over 30 days — translating to an 18.0 K/9. The catch: a 6.00 ERA over that same stretch means he's getting hit when he's not missing bats entirely. The strikeout spike is real, but this is volatile. Watch, don't rush.

Kyle Karros (3B, COL) — 19% Owned

Karros is hitting .368 with a .428 wOBA over the past week while cutting his strikeout rate to 12.0% (from 18.4% over 30 days) and walking at a 20.0% clip. The exit velocity (93.5 mph) isn't elite, but the plate discipline overhaul is legitimate. Ownership has actually dropped 10% in the last week — this is the buy-low. The Coors factor doesn't hurt, either.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals today — the algorithm didn't flag any spot starters or one-week matchup plays worth chasing. Check back tomorrow for updated pitching streams as the week's schedule takes shape.

Ownership Movers

The ownership landscape is remarkably flat this morning. Yoendrys Gómez leads all flagged players with a 31% roster rate but only ticked up 1% over the past week — the K-rate spike to 30.8% with a 2.19 FIP absolutely justifies further adds, so expect that number to climb if he keeps missing bats. Bryce Eldridge is stalled at 22% despite the exit velocity data screaming for attention. Austin Hedges remains completely unrostered at 0%, which is wild given the .473 wOBA, but the early-signal sample size and the catcher position explain the hesitation. Trevor Larnach sitting at 8% with a .463 wOBA is the most notable gap between production and ownership in today's data. Juan Morillo at 4% is a deep-league name only, but the underlying ratios warrant tracking.

Quick Hits

  • Xander Bogaerts has a 6.9% strikeout rate over the last seven days. For context, his 30-day rate was already a respectable 17.6%. That kind of contact-rate improvement from a veteran shortstop usually precedes a BABIP correction upward.
  • Alex Lange posted an 18.0 K/9 over the past week — the highest K/9 of any player flagged today — but paired it with a 6.00 ERA. He's either unhittable or getting crushed, with nothing in between. High-upside holds league material only.
  • Bryce Eldridge's 107.0 mph exit velocity is the hardest contact in today's entire dataset. At 22% ownership, he's the most obvious buy-low on the board.
  • Kyle Karros lost 10% ownership in the past week while posting a .428 wOBA. The market is wrong here — that's the widest divergence between ownership trend and production quality in today's signals.
  • Heriberto Hernández is the only hitter on today's report whose 7-day and 30-day wOBA are virtually identical (.405 vs .404), suggesting sustainable production rather than a hot streak. The 8% ownership is an inefficiency worth exploiting.