Dustin May is the most obvious add in fantasy baseball right now — a 0.00 ERA and 9.0 K/9 over the past seven days, backed by a 1.43 FIP and 32.1% strikeout rate, and he's still sitting at 58% ownership. If he's on your wire, you're already late. But let's walk through everything the signals caught overnight.

Today's Top Adds

Dustin May (SP, STL) — 58% Owned (+26% 7d)

May is dominating across 9.0 innings pitched in the last seven days: a spotless 0.00 ERA, 9.0 K/9, 1.43 FIP, and a 32.1% strikeout rate. This is still an early signal — five games of data — but the underlying metrics are elite, not lucky. Ownership has surged 26 percentage points in a week, which tells you sharper leagues have already moved. In shallower formats, he may still be sitting there. Grab him before this weekend's starts make it a moot point.

Isaac Paredes (3B, HOU) — 47% Owned

Paredes is putting together an impressive offensive stretch that goes beyond the batting average. His 7-day wOBA sits at .427 compared to .365 over 30 days, driven by an 18.2% walk rate (up from 13.3%), a declining strikeout rate (13.6% vs 16.2%), and legitimate hard contact — 50.0% hard-hit rate with a 92.7 mph exit velocity. The plate discipline improvement is the real story here. Over 22 plate appearances in the past week with 1 HR and a .200 AVG, the surface numbers look modest, but the wOBA tells you the quality of contact and the walks are creating real value. At 47% ownership and actually cooling slightly in roster percentage, this is a buy-low window on a hitter whose process is clicking.

Watch List

Caleb Kilian (RP, SF) — 9% Owned

A 66.7% strikeout rate over the past seven days is absurd, even in a tiny sample. The -1.34 FIP and 20.0 K/9 scream small-sample noise, but if you're in a deep league that counts holds or ratios, Kilian is worth a speculative add before ownership catches up. Monitor his next two appearances for any regression in the K rate.

Donovan Walton (2B/3B, LAA) — 1% Owned

Walton is slashing at a .533 AVG with 2 HR and a .667 wOBA over the past week. That wOBA is almost double his 30-day mark of .359. The 90.7 mph exit velocity and 41.7% hard-hit rate suggest there's some real contact quality here, though the strikeout rate dropping to 6.7% from 16.7% is the number that makes this interesting beyond a hot streak. At 1% ownership, this is a pure speculative dart — but the dual eligibility adds roster flexibility.

Lane Thomas (OF, KC) — 1% Owned

Three home runs in a week from a 1%-owned outfielder demands attention. Thomas is showing an 18.5% walk rate (up from 12.2%), a .383 wOBA, and a 50.0% hard-hit rate across 27 plate appearances. The .182 AVG looks ugly, but the power and patience combination is generating real fantasy value. Consistent playing time at 27 PA in seven days confirms he's in the lineup daily.

Francisco Alvarez (C, NYM) — 17% Owned

Alvarez's strikeout rate is trending down (20.0% vs 25.9% over 30 days) while his walk rate climbs (10.0% vs 7.4%). A 58.8% hard-hit rate and 93.5 mph exit velocity over the past week are premium contact numbers for a catcher. He's hitting .333 without a home run — when the power connects with this exit velocity, the breakout could be sudden. At 17% ownership, he's a priority stash at the thinnest position in fantasy.

J.T. Realmuto (C, PHI) — 17% Owned

Realmuto's 95.8 mph exit velocity and 75.0% hard-hit rate over the past week are the best contact quality numbers on today's entire report. His wOBA has jumped from .282 to .403 in seven days, and 2 HR back up the batted-ball data. If you need a catcher, Realmuto at 17% with these exit velocities is a gift.

Anthony Volpe (SS, NYY) — 5% Owned

A .512 wOBA (up from .263 over 30 days) with a .500 AVG, 72.2% hard-hit rate, and a declining strikeout rate of 15.4% — Volpe is barreling everything right now. Zero home runs means the BABIP is running hot, but the exit velocity (91.6 mph) and hard-hit quality suggest this isn't all luck. At 5% ownership in a premium lineup spot, he's worth a speculative add in 12-team leagues and deeper.

Dennis Santana (RP, PIT) — 43% Owned

Santana's K rate has spiked to 44.4% over seven days (vs 29.2% over 30 days) with a 0.43 FIP, 0.00 ERA, and 12.0 K/9. Already 43% owned, so this is more about confirming he belongs on your roster than making a waiver claim. Hold confidently.

Aaron Ashby (RP, MIL) — 36% Owned

Ashby's strikeout rate is trending up to 31.2% (from 24.2% over 30 days) with an 11.25 K/9 and 2.10 FIP. The 2.25 ERA isn't spotless, but the FIP says the true talent level is better than the runs allowed suggest. Worth holding in leagues where relievers carry value.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals were detected today. With no pitchers flagged for favorable short-term matchups, look to the add-now tier instead — Dustin May isn't just a stream, he's a roster piece. If you need a one-week play, check back tomorrow when weekend matchup data updates.

Ownership Movers

  • Dustin May (58%, +26% in 7 days): The biggest mover on the board, and the surge is entirely justified. A 1.43 FIP and 32.1% K rate aren't ownership artifacts — they're real performance. The market is catching up to the talent.
  • Caleb Kilian (9%, +2% in 7 days): A small uptick, but the 66.7% strikeout rate is going to draw attention fast. The signal is early and extreme — expect this ownership to accelerate if the next couple of outings hold.
  • Francisco Alvarez (17%, +0% in 7 days): Flat ownership despite improving plate discipline and elite exit velocity is the definition of a market inefficiency. The name recognition should be higher; the data says so too.
  • Isaac Paredes (47%, -3% in 7 days): People are dropping a hitter with a .427 wOBA, 92.7 mph exit velocity, and an 18.2% walk rate. Their loss is your gain.
  • Dennis Santana (43%, -2% in 7 days): A slight ownership dip while posting a 0.43 FIP and 44.4% K rate. The data says hold — the 2% drop is noise.

Quick Hits

  • J.T. Realmuto's 95.8 mph average exit velocity is the highest on today's report. At 17% ownership, he's being treated like a waiver afterthought while hitting the ball like a middle-of-the-order bat.
  • Anthony Volpe's wOBA nearly doubled week-over-week — from .263 to .512. The 72.2% hard-hit rate makes this more than a BABIP mirage, but zero home runs means the power hasn't shown up yet. When it does, this becomes a breakout.
  • Donovan Walton's .667 wOBA is the single highest 7-day mark on today's board. It won't last — but the strikeout rate dropping from 16.7% to 6.7% is a real process change worth monitoring.
  • Lane Thomas hit 3 HR in 27 PA while walking at an 18.5% clip. At 1% owned, he's the highest-upside free square on the wire today for power-needy rosters.
  • Caleb Kilian's -1.34 FIP is theoretically impossible to sustain, but a 66.7% strikeout rate — even in a tiny sample — signals a pitcher whose stuff is flat-out overpowering right now. The underlying swing-and-miss is real; the FIP will normalize but could settle somewhere very useful.