Today's Top Adds

Jake Burger is hitting .444 with a .481 wOBA over the last seven days, and his strikeout rate has cratered from 23.8% over 30 days to just 9.1% this week — that's the kind of plate discipline surge that turns a waiver afterthought into a lineup anchor. At 23% ownership and actually cooling off by 4 points, the window to grab him is right now before managers who only read box scores catch up. The walk rate is a steady 13.6%, confirming this isn't just BABIP luck — Burger is taking better at-bats.

Angel Martínez (2B, OF — CLE)

Martínez's wOBA has spiked from .274 over 30 days to .363 this past week, fueled by a 58.3% hard-hit rate and 91.1 mph average exit velocity. The walk rate nearly doubled — 3.6% this week versus 2.1% over 30 days — and he's logged 28 plate appearances in seven days, so there's no playing-time concern. At 27% ownership and slightly cooling, he's available in the majority of leagues and should be rostered in all formats as a multi-position asset with real contact quality behind the numbers.

Watch List

Cole Young (2B — SEA)

Young quietly posted a .312 average with a homer this week, backed by a 56.2% hard-hit rate and 93.0 mph exit velocity. His strikeout rate dropped to 9.1% and he racked up 33 plate appearances — the heaviest workload of anyone on today's board. At 11% ownership, he's the Watch List name closest to an "Add Now" upgrade if the batted-ball data holds one more week.

TJ Rumfield (1B — COL)

A .400 wOBA with a 19.2% walk rate over the last seven days is eye-catching, though the 86.8 mph exit velocity and 41.6% hard-hit rate inject caution. The Coors factor is real, but the plate discipline — strikeout rate down to 11.5%, walks way up — suggests legitimate approach improvements. Monitor for harder contact before committing a roster spot.

Troy Johnston (1B, OF — COL)

Johnston's strikeout rate plummeted from 13.9% to 4.2% this week while his walk rate climbed to 8.3%. The exit velocity is a strong 92.5 mph across 24 plate appearances. Another Coors resident, so the .322 wOBA needs context, but the contact quality is legit. He's only 10% owned — stash in deeper leagues.

Victor Caratini (C, 1B — MIN)

Catcher-needy managers should circle Caratini: a .373 wOBA with 92.8 mph exit velocity and a 58.3% hard-hit rate from a 3%-owned backstop. The strikeout rate is trending down (17.6% from 20.8%) and walks are up. He won't win you a league, but at the thinnest position in fantasy, that quality of contact at catcher is actionable.

Kyle Manzardo (1B — CLE)

The batting average (.188) is ugly, but the process is improving dramatically: strikeout rate cut nearly in half to 20.0% from 35.5%, walk rate doubled to 20.0%, and exit velocity sits at a muscular 93.7 mph. Manzardo is the classic "buy the approach, sell the results" candidate. If the hard contact starts finding holes, the breakout will be sudden.

Brooks Raley (RP — NYM)

Raley's 33.3% strikeout rate and 1.25 FIP this week scream elite relief upside, but the 6.67 ERA warns that sequencing has been brutal. This is an early signal — five games — so treat it as a speculative hold in leagues that reward ratios. The K rate and FIP say the results are coming.

Tyler Rogers (RP — TOR)

A clean 0.00 ERA over five appearances with a 2.40 FIP and rising strikeout rate (21.4% this week, up from 17.1%). Rogers isn't a closer, but he's a ratio stabilizer at 20% ownership who's pitching well enough to earn higher-leverage work.

A.J. Ewing (2B, OF — NYM)

Ewing's 29.2% strikeout rate is still concerning even though it's trending down from 31.7%. The 93.4 mph exit velocity and 12.5% walk rate show real tools, but the swing-and-miss will cap his floor. Keep on the radar, not the roster, for now.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals emerged from today's data — no pitching matchup triggers or short-term rental situations flagged by the algorithm. Check back tomorrow for Monday's streaming landscape as the new week brings fresh two-start candidates into view.

Ownership Movers

The biggest story in ownership movement this week is how little the market has moved on legitimate breakout candidates. Troy Johnston sits at 10% despite cutting his strikeout rate to 4.2% this week. Tyler Rogers is at 20% with a 0.00 ERA over five appearances. Victor Caratini remains at a laughable 3% while posting a .373 wOBA with elite exit velocity for a catcher. Kyle Manzardo is flat at 7% despite halving his strikeout rate and doubling his walk rate. These are all justified adds in 12-team leagues and deeper — the ownership curves simply haven't caught up to the underlying data. The movers this week are stable-to-flat across the board, which means the market is sleeping. Be the early mover.

Quick Hits

  • Jake Burger's strikeout rate collapse — from 23.8% to 9.1% in one week — is the single largest K-rate improvement on today's board. That's not a fluke over 22 plate appearances; that's a mechanical or approach adjustment worth buying.
  • Kyle Manzardo has the highest exit velocity on the report at 93.7 mph but is hitting just .188. That disconnect historically resolves in the hitter's favor. He's a pure speculative stash, but the underlying power data is loud.
  • Brooks Raley's 1.25 FIP paired with a 6.67 ERA is the widest FIP-ERA gap on today's sheet — classic regression candidate toward much better surface numbers.
  • Victor Caratini and Angel Martínez share the day's highest hard-hit rate at 58.3%, but Caratini is owned in just 3% of leagues compared to Martínez's 27%. Positional scarcity makes Caratini arguably the better value add.
  • Cole Young's 33 plate appearances this week are the most of anyone flagged today — Seattle is giving him the full runway, and a 9.1% strikeout rate with 93.0 mph exit velocity suggests he's earning every at-bat.