Isaac Paredes is demolishing the ball at a .485 wOBA over the past seven days with a 95.8 mph average exit velocity, and he's still sitting at just 44% ownership. That's the single most actionable line in today's report. If he's available, he shouldn't be by the time you finish your coffee.
Today's Top Adds
Isaac Paredes (3B, HOU) — 44% Owned
Paredes has been Houston's most dangerous bat over the past week: .300 AVG, 3 HR, a .485 wOBA that's surging from an already respectable .328 over the past 30 days. The exit velocity backs it up — 95.8 mph with a 62.5% hard-hit rate. His walk rate has jumped to 16.0% from 9.6%, meaning pitchers are pitching around him and he's still punishing everything in the zone. With 25 plate appearances across 5 games, this isn't a one-game mirage. He's a must-add in all formats.
Luis García Jr. (1B/2B, WSH) — 42% Owned
García's strikeout rate has cratered to 4.2% over the past seven days, down from 11.6% over the 30-day window. That kind of contact quality paired with a .446 wOBA and 3 home runs in 24 plate appearances is the profile of a hitter locked in. His walk rate is trending the right direction too — up to 8.3% from 4.7%. The 90.1 mph exit velocity and 50.0% hard-hit rate aren't elite, but the bat-to-ball skills are compensating. At 42% ownership with virtually no movement over the past week, this is a window that's still open.
Masyn Winn (SS, STL) — 34% Owned
Winn's .190 batting average over the past week is going to scare surface-level managers off — and that's exactly why the window exists. Look underneath: 94.5 mph exit velocity, a 70.8% hard-hit rate, and a wOBA that's jumped from .255 to .312. The walk rate has climbed to 15.4% from 9.2%, showing improved discipline. At 34% ownership with elite batted-ball data, Winn is a bet on the underlying quality catching up to the stat line. The hits are coming.
Watch List
Jacob Latz (SP/RP, TEX) — 39% Owned, Rising Fast
Latz is the fastest-moving name on waivers this week, gaining 5% in seven days. The numbers justify the buzz: 40.0% strikeout rate over the past week (up from 32.5% over 30 days) and a 0.85 FIP. The sample is still early — monitor his next start before committing a top claim.
Kody Clemens (1B/2B/OF, MIN) — 5% Owned, Trending Up
Clemens is slashing .333 with 2 HR and a .455 wOBA over 25 plate appearances. The 94.3 mph exit velocity and 55.0% hard-hit rate suggest real power. At just 5% ownership, he's essentially free — but the multi-position eligibility makes him a useful stash even before a full breakout.
Tyler Freeman (2B/OF, COL) — 2% Owned
Freeman has the most eye-popping surface stats on today's board: .412 AVG, .504 wOBA, a strikeout rate of just 5.0% (down from 11.2%), and a walk rate of 15.0%. The Coors factor applies, and the 87.6 mph exit velocity tempers enthusiasm, but the plate discipline transformation is real. Worth monitoring closely at 2% ownership — if the hard contact improves even marginally, this becomes a must-add.
Brandon Eisert (SP/RP, CWS) — 0% Owned
A 57.1% strikeout rate and a negative FIP (-0.38) over the past week. Yes, it's an early signal and it's the White Sox, but these are the kind of numbers that demand attention. He's completely unowned — zero cost to stash if you have the roster flexibility.
Jacob Gonzalez (2B/SS, CWS) — 6% Owned
The raw batted-ball data is loud: 101.6 mph average exit velocity with an 88.9% hard-hit rate. The .340 wOBA and .333 AVG are solid without being spectacular, and zero home runs over the sample suggests he's hitting bullets right at fielders. That kind of exit velocity doesn't stay hitless for long.
Josh Bell (1B, MIN) — 8% Owned
Bell is quietly hitting .348 with a .381 wOBA, a 76.7% hard-hit rate, and 97.0 mph exit velocity across 25 plate appearances. No home runs yet, which is why he's still at 8%, but the barrel data says the pop is coming. A deep-league add right now, with potential to move into "Add Now" territory quickly.
Dennis Santana (RP, PIT) — 46% Owned, Cooling Off
Santana's 40.0% strikeout rate and 0.60 FIP over the past week look elite, but the 9.00 ERA is a flashing red light. He's losing ownership (-3% over 7 days) and the ratios are volatile. Hold if you have him, but don't chase.
Stream of the Day
No streaming-specific signals today from the pitching data. If you're hunting for a spot start, Jacob Latz is the closest thing to a streaming option with his 0.85 FIP and 40.0% strikeout rate, but he's already at 39% ownership and climbing fast — more of an add than a stream. Check back tomorrow for matchup-driven streaming recommendations.
Ownership Movers
Jacob Latz (+5% to 39%) — The biggest mover of the week, and the data supports every bit of the hype. A sub-1.00 FIP with elite strikeout numbers is the kind of profile that goes from 39% to 70% in a hurry. The move is justified.
Kody Clemens (+2% to 5%) — Quietly gaining traction. The .455 wOBA and multi-position eligibility make the uptick rational, but he's still criminally under-owned for his production level.
Luis García Jr. (+1% to 42%) — Ownership is essentially flat despite a .446 wOBA week. This disconnect between production and roster movement is exactly the kind of inefficiency you want to exploit.
Tyler Freeman (+1% to 2%) — A .504 wOBA at 2% ownership means the market hasn't noticed yet. The low exit velocity keeps this in watch territory, but any ownership under 5% with these outputs is a market failure.
Brandon Eisert (0%, no change) — Completely invisible to the market. A 57.1% K rate and negative FIP should register somewhere, even in shallow leagues. This is the definition of a zero-cost lottery ticket.
Quick Hits
- Jacob Gonzalez's 101.6 mph average exit velocity is the highest on today's board by a wide margin. Pair that with an 88.9% hard-hit rate at just 6% ownership and you have a potential breakout hiding in plain sight on the South Side.
- Masyn Winn's 70.8% hard-hit rate is elite by any standard, yet his .190 AVG over the same stretch is suppressing his ownership. The BABIP correction is going to be violent — in a good way for those who add him now.
- Isaac Paredes posted a higher wOBA (.485) than Luis García Jr. (.446) this week, but García's 4.2% strikeout rate is the more sustainable underlying skill. Both are adds, but García may be the better long-term hold.
- Josh Bell's 97.0 mph exit velocity and 76.7% hard-hit rate without a single home run is a statistical anomaly begging to correct. At 8% ownership, he's the kind of add that looks obvious in hindsight two weeks from now.
- Brandon Eisert's -0.38 FIP is mathematically absurd and almost certainly unsustainable — but it tells you just how dominant the small-sample performance has been. Even regressing aggressively, the strikeout stuff is real.