Jake Bauers is mashing at a .484 wOBA over the past week with a 97.7 mph average exit velocity, and he's still sitting at just 22% ownership. That's the kind of disconnect that wins waiver periods. Ten rising signals hit our board in the last 24 hours — here's what matters before you set your Sunday lineups.

Today's Top Adds

Jake Bauers (1B/OF, MIL) — 22% Owned

Bauers is the clear top add this morning and it's not close. His 7-day wOBA of .484 jumps off the page against a .372 over 30 days, meaning this isn't just a hot streak layered on a cold baseline — he was already producing. The quality-of-contact numbers back it up: 61.1% hard-hit rate, 97.7 mph exit velocity, and a 13.3% walk rate that's ticking up from 11.7% over the month. He's hitting .385 with a homer across five games. The ownership hasn't budged yet — still 22% with no weekly change — which means this is a true buy-low window before the Monday morning waiver rush. In leagues with daily transactions, grab him now before the Sunday stat line potentially pushes him into the mainstream.

Watch List

Tyler Freeman (2B/OF, COL) — 1% Owned

Freeman's 75.0% hard-hit rate over the past week is the highest among all watch list hitters today, and he's producing at a .366 wOBA with a homer and .278 average in five games. The 20 plate appearances in seven days confirm consistent playing time. He's in Colorado, which never hurts. At 1% owned, there's zero cost to stash — monitor for another week of sustained contact quality before committing a roster spot in shallower formats.

Tyler Holton (SP/RP, DET) — 8% Owned

Holton's strikeout rate has surged to 18.8% over the past week from 13.2% over 30 days, and his FIP sits at a sparkling 1.70. Still an early signal at five appearances, but if the swing-and-miss uptick is real, he has sneaky value in leagues that count ratios and holds.

Adrian Del Castillo (C, AZ) — 1% Owned

The catcher position is a wasteland, which makes Del Castillo's profile interesting. His wOBA is rising (.336 vs. .315 over 30 days), his strikeout rate is declining (26.3% from 27.8%), and his walk rate is climbing (10.5% from 6.9%). A 68.8% hard-hit rate and 95.7 mph exit velocity suggest the underlying contact is legit. Five games, one homer — not enough to add yet, but catcher-needy managers should be first in line if this holds another week.

Justin Foscue (1B, TEX) — 0% Owned

Literally unowned across the platform, Foscue is posting a .411 wOBA with a .286 average, a homer, and a 92.6 mph exit velocity over five games. Early signal, but the 55.6% hard-hit rate gives it some texture. Deep league stash only for now.

Andrew Morris (SP/RP, MIN) — 0% Owned

Morris is another zero-percent-owned arm worth a bookmark. His K rate jumped to 23.8% from 20.5% over 30 days, and his FIP is 2.30. He logged 5.0 innings in the past week, suggesting rotation-adjacent workloads. Early days, but the strikeout trend is pointing the right direction.

Alex Freeland (2B/3B/SS, LAD) — 1% Owned

Freeland's wOBA spiked from .298 over 30 days to .389 in the past week. The process looks legitimate: his strikeout rate dropped to 21.1% from 26.0%, while his walk rate surged to 21.1% from 11.0%. That's a fundamentally improved plate approach. The 87.8 mph exit velocity is the one red flag — he'll need to hit the ball harder to sustain these gains. But multi-position eligibility in the Dodgers lineup warrants attention.

Adrian Morejon (RP, SD) — 10% Owned

A 47.4% strikeout rate over the past week is absurd, up from 35.0% over 30 days. His FIP is 2.04. The 5.74 ERA doesn't match, which means sequencing has been unkind — but the K/9 of 17.23 is elite. If you need strikeouts from your relief corps, Morejon is generating them at a ridiculous clip right now.

Garrett Whitlock (RP, BOS) — 19% Owned

Whitlock's ownership has actually dipped 2% in the past week, which is a mistake. His K rate over seven days is 42.9% (up from 27.9% over 30 days) and his FIP is a microscopic 0.37. Yes, the 5.45 ERA looks ugly, but a 16.36 K/9 paired with a 0.37 FIP screams regression to the good side. Buy the dip.

Paul Sewald (RP, AZ) — 57% Owned

Sewald is the most-owned player on today's list but is trending in the wrong direction roster-wise, down 9% in the past week. The underlying data says managers are wrong to drop him. He posted a 0.00 ERA over the past seven days with a 44.4% K rate (up from 28.6%) and a 1.25 FIP. That's dominant. If someone in your league cut him, sprint to waivers.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals today — the algorithm didn't flag any spot starters or matchup-driven plays worth chasing. Check back tomorrow as the week's pitching schedules crystallize.

Ownership Movers

The surprise this morning is the lack of movement. Jake Bauers is sitting at 22% with zero change over seven days despite a week of legitimate production — that stagnation is the opportunity. Tyler Freeman and Adrian Del Castillo are both at 1% with no movement, which is expected for watch-list players but worth flagging: when the ownership spike comes, it comes fast for sub-5% guys. Tyler Holton at 8% hasn't budged either, but the FIP supports more attention. Justin Foscue at 0% is the ultimate ground-floor play — the data is early but the price is free. The only notable drops are Paul Sewald (down 9%) and Garrett Whitlock (down 2%), both of which look like overreactions based on surface ERA rather than the dominant underlying K and FIP metrics.

Quick Hits

  • Best exit velocity of the day: Jake Bauers at 97.7 mph, followed by Adrian Del Castillo at 95.7 mph. Both are available in virtually all leagues.
  • Reliever K-rate explosion: Adrian Morejon (47.4%), Paul Sewald (44.4%), and Garrett Whitlock (42.9%) are all running K rates above 40% over the past week. That's not sustainable, but it points to genuine swing-and-miss stuff that doesn't just evaporate overnight.
  • Best FIP on the board: Whitlock's 0.37 FIP is borderline absurd. For context, his ERA is 5.45 — the gap between those two numbers is a screaming buy signal.
  • Plate discipline standout: Alex Freeland posted a 21.1% walk rate over seven days while cutting his strikeout rate by nearly five percentage points. That's the kind of approach change that precedes a breakout, even if the exit velocity (87.8 mph) needs to catch up.
  • Catcher watch: Adrian Del Castillo's 68.8% hard-hit rate and 95.7 mph EV would be noteworthy at any position. At catcher — where the bar for production is underground — it's a flashing neon sign. One more week of this and he's an add.