Zack Gelof is sitting at 5% ownership with a .506 wOBA and two homers over the past week — if he's on your waiver wire, that changes this morning.
Today's Top Adds
Samuel Basallo (C, BAL) — 31% Owned
Basallo's bat is waking up in a big way. His 7-day wOBA has climbed to .431, up from .381 over the past 30 days, and he's doing it with elite contact quality — 56.7% hard-hit rate and a 95.0 mph average exit velocity. The strikeout rate is ticking down too, from 19.0% to 18.2% over the past week. With 22 plate appearances across five games, this isn't a single-game mirage. At 31% ownership and surging (+8% in seven days), the window to add is narrowing fast. Catcher is a wasteland — Basallo is a top-12 option at the position right now. If you're streaming the likes of Ryan Jeffers or Drake Baldwin, Basallo is the upgrade you need. He's on the same roster as Adley Rutschman, but the playing time has been consistent and Baltimore's lineup provides run-producing context.
Carmen Mlodzinski (SP/RP, PIT) — 16% Owned
Mlodzinski has carved out real workload in Pittsburgh's pitching staff, logging 11.7 innings over the past seven days. His strikeout rate is rising — 21.6% in the past week versus 20.6% over 30 days — and the dual eligibility gives you roster flexibility. At 16% ownership with a +6% surge, leagues are starting to notice. This is still an early signal at five games, but the innings volume is the key detail. In formats that reward bulk and ratios, Mlodzinski is a low-risk add with an expanding role. Grab him before the next strong outing pushes ownership past the tipping point.
Zack Gelof (2B/OF, ATH) — 5% Owned
Here's your league-winner lotto ticket. Gelof's 7-day line is absurd: .333 AVG, 2 HR, .506 wOBA, 93.6 mph exit velocity. His strikeout rate has dipped to 23.8% (from 24.6% over 30 days) while his walk rate has more than doubled — 14.3% versus 6.6%. That's a plate discipline overhaul. The 44.4% hard-hit rate isn't elite, but coupled with a .506 wOBA and 21 plate appearances across five games, the underlying approach is driving real results. At 5% ownership, this is free. The dual eligibility at 2B and OF makes him even more valuable. He's rising fast — act before your leaguemates read this.
Watch List
Rico Garcia (RP, BAL) — 29% Owned
Garcia is punching out batters at a 36.4% clip over the past week (up from 32.4% over 30 days) with a pristine 0.00 ERA and a 2.49 FIP. The 10.91 K/9 in a high-leverage bullpen role makes him interesting for holds and ratios leagues. Ownership is already surging (+10% in seven days), so monitor one more outing and then commit.
Daniel Lynch IV (RP, KC) — 3% Owned
A 41.7% strikeout rate. A 0.98 FIP. A 13.64 K/9. Lynch's raw numbers over the past week are borderline dominant. The 0.00 ERA is obviously unsustainable, but when strikeout rates jump from 35.1% to 41.7%, there's a real swing-and-miss development happening. At 3% ownership, there's no rush — but if Kansas City hands him higher-leverage opportunities, he becomes an instant add.
Curtis Mead (1B/2B/3B, WSH) — 1% Owned
Mead's 75.0% hard-hit rate over the past week is the eye-popper. His wOBA has climbed from .318 to .388, strikeouts are declining (13.0% vs. 14.8%), and walks are spiking (21.7% vs. 13.6%). With 23 plate appearances and triple positional eligibility, he's a deep-league stash. The .278 batting average isn't flashy, but the process is excellent. Casey Schmitt owners looking for a multi-position upgrade should have Mead on their radar.
Kody Clemens (1B/2B/OF, MIN) — 1% Owned
The batting average is ugly at .167, but the underlying indicators are trending right: strikeout rate has plummeted from 23.7% to 16.7%, walk rate has jumped to 16.7%, and exit velocity is a respectable 93.1 mph. The wOBA improvement from .318 to .331 confirms a plate-discipline shift, not just noise. Deep-league only for now.
Burch Smith (RP, DET) — 0% Owned
Completely unowned with a 1.35 FIP and 33.3% strikeout rate (11.25 K/9). The zero ERA over five appearances is impossible to sustain, but the FIP says the performance isn't entirely smoke. Worth a bookmark in deeper formats.
Michael Conforto (OF, CHC) — 1% Owned
Conforto's week has been volcanic: .600 AVG, 2 HR, .802 wOBA, 99.8 mph exit velocity, and an 83.3% hard-hit rate. That said, this is an early signal flagged at five games, and the sample is almost certainly tiny given the extremes. The exit velocity and hard-hit numbers suggest real contact quality, not just BABIP luck. If you need outfield pop and can afford to speculate, Conforto belongs on your watch list alongside Cody Bellinger and Jackson Chourio as potential buy-low or add targets in the Cubs outfield.
Troy Johnston (1B/OF, COL) — 7% Owned
Johnston is posting a .448 wOBA with a .400 average and 92.0 mph exit velocity in a solid five-game sample. The Coors Field context always inflates these numbers, so proceed with caution, but a 50.0% hard-hit rate and 16.7% walk rate indicate real improvement in approach. Worth monitoring for another week before adding.
Stream of the Day
No streaming-specific signals emerged from today's data — no two-start pitchers or favorable matchup indicators triggered. If you need a bulk arm this weekend, Carmen Mlodzinski and his 11.7 innings over the past week make him the closest thing to a streaming option with some safety net. Check back tomorrow for updated streaming picks.
Ownership Movers
- Rico Garcia (29%, +10%): The biggest mover of the week, and the data backs it up. A 36.4% K rate and 2.49 FIP make the ownership surge entirely justified. He's approaching must-add territory in all formats.
- Samuel Basallo (31%, +8%): Deserved. The .431 wOBA and 95.0 mph exit velocity are top-tier for the catcher position. Expect him north of 40% by next week.
- Carmen Mlodzinski (16%, +6%): Workload-driven add. The innings are real even if the strikeout rate isn't dominant. Justified in 12-team leagues and deeper.
- Zack Gelof (5%, +5%): Still criminally under-owned. A .506 wOBA with power and improving plate discipline at 5% is a market inefficiency. This number should triple by next Saturday.
- Daniel Lynch IV (3%): Stable ownership despite elite recent numbers. The reliever landscape is crowded, but a 0.98 FIP and 41.7% K rate deserve more attention than 3%.
Quick Hits
- Conforto's exit velocity — Michael Conforto's 99.8 mph average EV over the past week is the highest among all flagged hitters today. Combined with an 83.3% hard-hit rate, this is elite-tier barrel production if it holds even slightly.
- Mead's hard-hit rate — Curtis Mead's 75.0% hard-hit rate dwarfs his 1% ownership. At some point, balls in play that hard start finding gaps. His triple eligibility (1B/2B/3B) makes him a roster construction dream in deep leagues.
- Lynch's K-rate leap — Going from 35.1% to 41.7% in strikeout rate in a single week is a meaningful jump for Daniel Lynch IV. If Kansas City's bullpen sees any injuries near Jhoan Duran or the high-leverage arms, Lynch could become a saves-adjacent asset overnight.
- Gelof's walk-rate explosion — A walk rate that jumps from 6.6% to 14.3% in one week signals a mechanical or approach change, not random variance. Zack Gelof's improved selectivity is the foundation that makes the .506 wOBA believable.
- Basallo's floor — Even if Samuel Basallo's .381 average regresses, the 95.0 mph exit velocity and declining strikeout rate point to a catcher producing legitimate quality contact. He's a hold even through a slump.