Reid Detmers is striking out 27.1% of batters over the past week — up from 23.8% over 30 days — with a 2.22 FIP, and he's still sitting at 47% ownership. If he's available in your league, this is the morning you fix that.

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Reid Detmers (SP/RP, LAA) — 47% Owned

Detmers is flashing an elite combination right now: a 27.1% strikeout rate over the last seven days against a 23.8% trailing 30-day mark, paired with a 2.22 FIP that suggests the results are real, not lucky. He's also been a workhorse with 11.3 innings pitched in the past week, meaning the Angels are giving him full starter workloads with no short leash. Ownership has been flat — just a 1% swing over seven days — which means the market hasn't caught on yet. This is a five-game sample, so there's inherent risk, but the underlying indicators are all pointing the same direction. Add him before Monday waivers process.

Watch List

Rhett Lowder (SP, CIN) — 31% Owned (+6% 7d)

The ownership surge is real — 6% in a week — but pump the brakes. Lowder's seven-day K rate has spiked to 22.9% from 15.8% over 30 days, and his FIP sits at a strong 2.94. The problem? A 14.29 ERA over the past week. That gap between FIP and ERA screams bad luck or one ugly inning inflating the number. If the ERA corrects toward the FIP in his next start, he becomes an add. Monitor closely.

Erik Sabrowski (RP, CLE) — 21% Owned

A 50.0% strikeout rate and a 0.60 FIP over the past seven days. Zero earned runs. An 18.0 K/9. In a small sample these numbers are almost absurd, but Sabrowski is doing exactly what you want from a high-leverage reliever. The question is whether Cleveland gives him save or hold opportunities consistently. Watch the role.

Juan Morillo (RP, AZ) — 13% Owned

Morillo's FIP over the last week is literally negative: -0.23. His K rate has jumped to 45.5% from 35.4% over 30 days, and he's posting a 15.0 K/9. At 13% ownership he's essentially free. The 3.00 ERA over seven days is fine, not dominant — but with that strikeout and FIP profile, the ratios should tighten. A speculative add in deeper leagues right now, a watch everywhere else.

Brooks Raley (RP, NYM) — 2% Owned

Raley is nearly invisible at 2% ownership but posted a 44.4% K rate over the past week (up from 28.6% over 30 days), a 0.43 FIP, and a 0.00 ERA with a 12.0 K/9. Early signal, tiny sample, but the Mets bullpen is a place where opportunity can materialize quickly. Stash in deep formats.

Tyler Black (1B, MIL) — 1% Owned

The bat is screaming. Black hit .538 over the past week with a .566 wOBA (up from .457 over 30 days), a 92.2 mph average exit velocity, and a strikeout rate that dropped to 14.3% from 22.7%. He also nudged his walk rate up to 7.1%. At 1% ownership nobody is watching — which is exactly when you want to pounce on a bat this hot. The power hasn't shown up yet (zero homers this week), so this is purely a contact-and-quality play for now.

Ben Brown (SP/RP, CHC) — 6% Owned

Brown's 2.57 FIP and 5.7 innings in the past week suggest he's being used in a meaningful role for Chicago. The strikeout data didn't trigger a spike signal, so this is more of a stabilization play. If you're in a league that rewards ratio quality, he's worth a speculative roster spot.

Ezequiel Duran (1B/2B/3B/SS/OF, TEX) — 1% Owned

Multi-position eligibility is the headline, but the plate discipline shift is the story. Duran cut his strikeout rate to 12.5% from 17.7% while spiking his walk rate to 18.8% from 11.3%. His wOBA rose to .397 from .319. The 84.6 mph exit velocity is soft, though — that's a red flag for sustainability. Worth monitoring to see if the approach sticks even as the batted-ball data catches up.

JoJo Romero (RP, STL) — 11% Owned (Cooling Off)

A 46.7% K rate over the past week looks incredible until you see the 5.45 ERA sitting right next to it. Romero is striking everyone out and still getting burned — likely by the long ball or walks. Ownership is actually dropping (down 3%), and the market may be right here. Wait for the ERA to follow the strikeouts down before acting.

Alex Vesia (RP, LAD) — 30% Owned (Cooling Off)

Vesia's ownership has dipped 7% despite a 44.4% K rate, a 0.00 ERA, a 15.65 K/9, and a 2.23 FIP over the last seven days. That's a buying opportunity. Managers may be reacting to a prior rough stretch, but the current data is dominant. If he's been dropped in your league, grab him now before the ownership trend reverses.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals triggered today. With a thin slate, there's no matchup-driven play worth chasing on the wire this morning. If you need spot innings, Ben Brown's 2.57 FIP and active rotation workload make him the closest thing to a usable stream — but that's a ratio play, not a wins play. Check back tomorrow.

Ownership Movers

  • Rhett Lowder (CIN): 31% (+6% 7d) — The biggest mover of the day, and the surge is backed by a real K-rate breakout (22.9% vs 15.8%) and a 2.94 FIP. The 14.29 ERA is the only thing keeping him off the Add Now tier. Justified move, but early.
  • Erik Sabrowski (CLE): 21% (+1%) — Barely budging despite elite ratios. The market is sleeping on a 50% K-rate reliever with a 0.60 FIP.
  • Juan Morillo (AZ): 13% — Flat ownership despite a negative FIP and a 45.5% K rate. Deep-league managers should be acting.
  • Brooks Raley (NYM): 2% — Invisible. The underlying numbers say he shouldn't be.
  • Tyler Black (MIL): 1% — A .566 wOBA hitter owned in virtually zero leagues. The disconnect between production and ownership is the widest on today's board.

Quick Hits

  • Alex Vesia's ownership is down 7% in a week where he posted a 0.00 ERA and 15.65 K/9. That's the definition of a buy-low window created by recency bias from an earlier rough patch.
  • Juan Morillo's -0.23 FIP is the lowest (best) figure on today's entire board. Negative FIPs are rare and almost always unsustainable, but they tell you a pitcher is doing everything right in terms of strikeouts, walks, and avoiding home runs.
  • Tyler Black slashed his strikeout rate nearly in half — from 22.7% over 30 days to 14.3% over seven — while maintaining a 92.2 mph exit velocity. That's not an empty batting average binge.
  • JoJo Romero is the cautionary tale of the day: a 46.7% K rate paired with a 5.45 ERA proves that strikeouts alone don't save you. The damage between punchouts matters.
  • Reid Detmers logged 11.3 innings in seven days — the heaviest workload among today's signals — signaling full trust from the Angels staff. Volume plus quality equals priority add.