Luke Raley is hitting .480 with a .538 wOBA over the past week while his strikeout rate has plummeted from 37.1% to 29.6% — and he's sitting at just 11% ownership. That's the kind of disconnect that wins waiver weeks. But Raley isn't the only signal worth acting on this morning. Ten names lit up in the past 24 hours, headlined by two starters generating serious K-rate spikes and a handful of near-anonymous relievers flashing elite peripherals.

Today's Top Adds

Randy Vásquez (SP, SD) — 58% Rostered

Vásquez's 7-day K rate has surged to 31.8%, up from 26.4% over 30 days, and it's translating to a 12.99 K/9 clip across 9.7 innings pitched this past week. The 4.64 ERA looks bumpy, but the 2.79 FIP tells you the underlying stuff is sharp — he's getting whiffs, limiting hard contact, and getting unlucky on sequencing. Ownership has already jumped 13.3 points in a week, making him the fastest-moving arm on today's board. At 58%, he's still available in nearly half of leagues. That window is closing fast. If he's on your wire, he shouldn't be by tonight.

Seth Lugo (SP, KC) — 49% Rostered

Lugo has been absurdly efficient: a 1.38 ERA across 13.0 innings in the past seven days backed by a 2.33 FIP that confirms this isn't smoke and mirrors. His K rate is ticking upward — 23.4% over the past week versus 22.3% over 30 days — and the workload is there, with two solid starts in a week. Ownership climbing 7.8 points tells you managers are catching on, but at 49% rostered, he's still free in the majority of competitive leagues. Lugo is a set-and-forget SP3 right now, not a streamer.

Luke Raley (1B/OF, SEA) — 11% Rostered

This is the best pure value play on the wire. Raley's .538 wOBA over the past week is up from an already-strong .424 over 30 days, paired with a 198 wRC+ and a declining strikeout rate (29.6% vs. 37.1%). He's been in the lineup consistently — 27 plate appearances in seven days — and the hard-hit rate sits at 44.7% with an 87.4 mph average exit velocity. The batting average (.480) will regress, but the plate discipline improvement and playing time are real. At 11% ownership, he's essentially free. Add him before the weekend slate.

Watch List

Juan Morillo (RP, AZ) — 6% Rostered

Morillo's K rate has jumped from 18.6% to 28.6% in seven days with a 2.43 FIP and 12.0 K/9. The 3.00 ERA is fine, but the swing-and-miss spike is the story. Ownership has surged 5.6 points on a tiny base — if he starts getting high-leverage work, he's an instant add.

Enyel De Los Santos (RP, HOU) — 1% Rostered

A 0.94 FIP with a 33.3% K rate and zero earned runs over the past week. The sample is minuscule, but the peripherals are screaming. Monitor for saves or holds opportunity in the Houston bullpen.

Ryan Thompson (RP, AZ) — 1% Rostered

Thompson's 7-day K rate has exploded to 37.5% from 13.5% over 30 days, with a 1.10 FIP and zero ERA in that span. That's a massive swing in whiff ability. Two Arizona relievers on the Watch List — something is cooking in that bullpen.

Yoán Moncada (3B, LAA) — 1% Rostered

Moncada is slashing .353 with a .469 wOBA over the past week, his strikeout rate falling from 36.4% to 28.6%. The 89.5 mph exit velocity is encouraging. He's a name-brand buy-low if the bat stays warm for another week, but at 1% ownership, there's no urgency yet.

Miguel Rojas (2B/3B/SS, LAD) — 1% Rostered

A .768 wOBA and .833 average in the past week — clearly unsustainable, but the 90.8 mph exit velocity, 41.6% hard-hit rate, and a walk rate that's spiked from 7.5% to 25.0% are intriguing. The multi-position eligibility adds value. Pure watch — let this develop another week before spending a claim.

Gavin Sheets (1B/OF, SD) — 3% Rostered

Sheets has popped two homers in the past week with a .442 wOBA, a 50.0% hard-hit rate, and a 92.0 mph average exit velocity — the best raw power indicators on today's entire board. Consistent playing time (21 PA) is the key variable. If he stays in the lineup daily, the power profile plays.

J.P. Crawford (SS, SEA) — 6% Rostered

Crawford's strikeout rate has cratered to a remarkable 4.5% over the past week (down from 18.6%), while his walk rate has climbed to 31.8%. The .412 wOBA won't hold at that BABIP, but elite contact and plate discipline are real skills. He's a deeper-league add for batting average and runs.

Stream of the Day

No streaming-specific signals triggered today, and both of our top starting pitcher adds — Vásquez and Lugo — are better owned than streamed. If you're looking for a short-term play this week, Seth Lugo is your man if still available: 1.38 ERA, 2.33 FIP, and 13.0 innings of workload in the past seven days. He's pitching like an ace. Grab him for the start, keep him for the season.

Ownership Movers

  • Randy Vásquez (58%, +13.3%) — The biggest mover on the board, and it's earned. A 2.79 FIP and 31.8% K rate back the hype. This is trending toward universal ownership within two weeks.
  • Seth Lugo (49%, +7.8%) — Justified. A 2.33 FIP over his recent stretch is elite-tier. He should be rostered in all formats.
  • Juan Morillo (6%, +5.6%) — The surge is outsized relative to his base, which tells you the sharp leagues are moving early. The 2.43 FIP says this isn't noise.
  • Luke Raley (11%, +3.5%) — Still criminally under-owned for a player with a .538 wOBA and daily playing time. The ownership curve should steepen.
  • Enyel De Los Santos (1%, +1.0%) — Barely a blip, but a 0.94 FIP at 1% ownership means the market hasn't priced him in at all.

Quick Hits

  • Best FIP on the board: Enyel De Los Santos at 0.94, followed by Ryan Thompson at 1.10. Both at 1% rostered. The reliever market is inefficient right now.
  • Strikeout rate crash of the day: J.P. Crawford's K rate dropping from 18.6% to 4.5% in seven days is a dramatic shift. He put the ball in play on virtually every at-bat. Even if the wOBA dips, that contact rate is a floor-raiser in points leagues.
  • Exit velocity leader: Gavin Sheets at 92.0 mph with a 50.0% hard-hit rate — the best batted-ball profile among today's Watch List hitters. Two homers in a week at 3% ownership.
  • Seattle stack alert: Both Luke Raley (.538 wOBA) and J.P. Crawford (.412 wOBA) are surging simultaneously from the same lineup at single-digit or low-double-digit ownership. The Mariners offense may be turning a corner.
  • Arizona bullpen watch: Juan Morillo and Ryan Thompson are both flashing elite peripherals out of the D-backs pen. If David Bednar or the closer role gets shaky, one of these arms could become a league-winner at near-zero cost.