Cedric Mullins Is Finally Flashing the Bat — And the Numbers Back It Up
Cedric Mullins has posted a .432 wOBA over the last seven days, and for the first time in months, the underlying data actually supports the surface-level production. WaiverScout has spent most of the 2026 season classifying Mullins as a deprioritize — we flagged him that way in April, May, and as recently as June 27. But something has shifted, and at 8% roster ownership, this is a name you need on your watch list immediately.
The Rolling Window Tells the Story
Look at the 7-day line: .316 AVG, 3 HR, a .432 wOBA, and a strikeout rate that's dropped to 20.0% after sitting at 24.1% over the 30-day window and a bloated 28.6% over 14 days. That K% decline is significant — it suggests a mechanical or approach adjustment rather than a random hot streak. He's putting the ball in play more consistently and doing damage when he does.
The 30-day numbers provide important context: .264 AVG, 6 HR, 2 SB, and a .358 wOBA across 83 PA. That's a respectable baseline, but the recent surge over the last week has been a clear gear change. He's gone from useful to potentially impactful.
Statcast Data: Real Contact Quality
The 7-day exit velocity sits at 93.0 mph with a 41.6% hard-hit rate. Those are legitimate numbers. For a player who posted just a 76.4 mph exit velocity and 27.1% hard-hit rate over the 14-day window, this is a dramatic correction — and the 30-day hard-hit rate of 43.2% suggests the 14-day dip was the anomaly, not the current output. Mullins is barreling the ball at a rate consistent with his broader trend, and the exit velocity has caught up.
Three home runs in his last five games isn't noise when you see the contact quality behind it. He went deep on July 2 (2-for-4, 2 RBI), July 1 (2-for-4, 2 RBI), and June 28 (1-for-4, 1 RBI). That's real power in real at-bats, not a single blowup game inflating the numbers.
The Ownership Window
At 8% rostered with stable velocity, this is still a free pickup in virtually every league format. Most fantasy publications are listing Mullins on their player pages — FantasyPros and CBS Sports have his profile live — but the broader fantasy community hasn't caught on yet. When a player produces 3 HR with a .432 wOBA in a week and is rostered in fewer than one in ten leagues, you have a clear information gap to exploit.
He's getting consistent playing time with 20 PA over the last seven days, which removes the biggest risk factor for a fringe outfielder. The at-bats are there.
WaiverScout Signal History
We've been tracking Mullins all season. We classified him as deprioritize nine times from early April through late June — the data simply wasn't there. On May 19, we briefly upgraded him to watch at 6% ownership before sending him back down. Now, for only the second time in 2026, the algorithm is elevating him again. The difference this time: the skills data and the production are aligned.
Verdict: Watch
Cedric Mullins is a firm watch. The .432 wOBA, declining K%, 93.0 mph exit velocity, and consistent playing time make this signal real. He's not an emergency add — but if you're in a league where outfield options like Jordan Walker or Chandler Simpson are already rostered, Mullins needs to be your next target. Monitor through the weekend. If the contact quality holds, the add call is coming soon.