Cedric Mullins Is Finally Flashing the Signal We've Been Waiting For
Cedric Mullins posted a .521 wOBA over the last seven days, more than doubling his 30-day mark of .249. For a player WaiverScout has classified as "deprioritize" seven consecutive times dating back to March, that kind of surge demands attention — even from us.
What Changed
The short answer: everything. Mullins went 8-for-17 (.471 AVG) over the last seven days with a home run, two stolen bases, a 14.3% walk rate, and a 14.3% strikeout rate. That walk-to-strikeout ratio is elite-level plate discipline, and it's a stark departure from his 30-day numbers where he was walking at just a 7.6% clip while striking out 15.2% of the time.
Zoom out slightly to the 14-day window and the picture is still encouraging: a .353 AVG, .381 wOBA, four stolen bases, and a 12.8% K-rate against a 7.7% BB%. The trend lines are all moving in the right direction. His 30-day line — .214 AVG, .249 wOBA — looks like a different hitter entirely, and that's the point. Something has shifted.
The Skills Question
Here's where we pump the brakes slightly. Mullins' hard-hit rate over seven days sits at 47.9% with an average exit velocity of 86.6 mph. That hard-hit number is a massive jump from his 30-day rate of 20.8%, but the exit velocity only climbed from 81.6 to 86.6 mph. That 86.6 figure is functional, not fearsome. It's enough to support a contact-and-speed profile, but it's not the kind of barrel authority that sustains a .521 wOBA. The 14-day hard-hit rate of 27.4% tells us the quality-contact spike is very recent and very concentrated.
What is sustainable? The stolen bases. Mullins has swiped 7 bags over 30 days across 79 plate appearances. That speed is real, it's persistent across every window, and it's the kind of category contribution that wins weeks in roto and head-to-head formats alike.
Why This Is a Watch, Not an Add
We've been honest about Mullins. WaiverScout flagged him as "deprioritize" every single week from late March through May 11. The 30-day underlying numbers justified that call repeatedly. Now the signal is changing — and we're upgrading him to Watch — but the data needs another week to confirm this isn't just one monster 4-for-4 game on May 15 inflating a small window.
At 6% rostered, there's no urgency to rush. Nobody is scooping Mullins off your waiver wire tonight. That's the beauty of this window: you can monitor without risk. If the hard-hit rate holds above 35% and the walk rate stays elevated through next week, this becomes an add conversation fast.
The Landscape
Major outlets like ESPN and CBS Sports are tracking Mullins but haven't pushed him as a priority pickup. That's typical — the mainstream fantasy industry waits for the breakout to fully materialize before flagging it. WaiverScout is telling you about the signal now, while ownership sits at 6% and you still have time to act if it firms up. If you're comparing outfield options on your wire, check profiles like Jakob Marsee alongside Mullins to weigh your best move.
The Verdict: Watch
Add Mullins to your watchlist immediately. The 7-day wOBA explosion, improved plate discipline, and persistent stolen-base production form a legitimate rising signal. The exit velocity and hard-hit sustainability questions keep this short of a full add recommendation — for now. But the data is clear: after seven straight weeks of "deprioritize," Cedric Mullins is finally giving us a reason to pay attention. Don't look away.