Andrew Vaughn Is Demolishing the Ball — And Nobody's Picking Him Up
Andrew Vaughn is posting a .454 wOBA over the last seven days with an 86.7% hard-hit rate and a 98.3 mph average exit velocity, and he's sitting at just 28% rostered. That's a market failure. This is an Add Now.
WaiverScout Saw This Coming
We first flagged Vaughn back on May 13 as a Watch when he was at 32% ownership. He then went through a rough stretch that led us to deprioritize him on May 23. But the underlying talent didn't disappear — it was recovering. Vaughn fractured his left hamate on Opening Day and needed surgery, as Fantasy Baseball Talk reported back in February. What we're seeing now is a hitter who has fully regained his bat speed and then some. The signal has strengthened dramatically, and his ownership has actually dropped from 36% to 28% since our deprioritize call. The market overcorrected. Time to exploit that.
The Rolling Window Tells the Story
Look at the trajectory across Vaughn's rolling stats and the picture is unmistakable:
- 30-day: .362 AVG, .398 wOBA, 52.2% hard-hit rate, 91.3 mph EV
- 14-day: .405 AVG, .435 wOBA, 80.3% hard-hit rate, 97.1 mph EV
- 7-day: .391 AVG, .454 wOBA, 86.7% hard-hit rate, 98.3 mph EV
That's not a hot streak built on luck. His exit velocity has climbed 7 mph from the 30-day window to the 7-day window. His hard-hit rate has jumped from 52.2% to 86.7% in that same span. The quality of contact is escalating, not plateauing. Meanwhile, his strikeout rate has dropped from 10.8% over 30 days to 8.7% over the last week. He's making harder contact and making it more often.
Statcast Validation: This Is Real
An 86.7% hard-hit rate and 98.3 mph exit velocity aren't fluky numbers you stumble into over a bad weekend. Vaughn has logged 23 plate appearances in the last seven days — consistent playing time in Milwaukee's lineup — and he's absolutely crushing the ball. His most recent game was a 4-for-6 explosion with a homer and 4 RBI. The game before that: 3-for-5. Over 37 plate appearances across 14 days, the data is clear: the bat is locked in.
The Athletic flagged Vaughn as a waiver target back in early May, and the fantasy baseball community on Reddit has been tracking his production since his trade to Milwaukee. The broader fantasy world knows this name. Yet somehow, ownership hasn't budged — 0% change in the last seven days despite a .454 wOBA. That gap between performance and ownership is your edge.
Who He's Replacing on Your Roster
If you're running Freddie Freeman or Nick Kurtz at first base, Vaughn is a premium bench bat or UTIL play. If you're limping along with a replacement-level option at 1B or UTIL — or someone like Yandy Díaz in a downturn — Vaughn should be starting for you today.
Verdict: Add Now
Andrew Vaughn is a must-add at 28% rostered. The exit velocity is elite. The hard-hit rate is elite. The strikeout rate is declining. He's locked into consistent playing time in Milwaukee. The numbers back it up across every rolling window, and the trend is accelerating upward, not cooling off. Stop waiting. The window to grab him at this ownership is closing — even if the roster percentages haven't caught up yet, they will. Get him now.